Tom’s Weekly Buy List

Markets are coming off a record-setting week, but the tone has started to shift as rising bond yields, elevated oil prices, and ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran weigh on sentiment.

With Nvidia and major retailers set to report earnings in the coming days, investors are bracing for potential volatility, especially as expectations for near-term rate cuts continue to fade.

In this environment, stock-specific opportunities matter more than ever. Here are three that I’m watchling this week.

Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) — Beaten-Down Growth Story With A Long Runway

Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) trades around $51 after pulling back roughly 35% from its highs, and we think this is where the story starts to get interesting again.

This is still very much a growth company. The brand continues to show strong momentum, even in a tougher consumer environment. In the most recent quarter, comparable-store sales rose 8.3%, with transactions up 5.1%, and company-owned locations performed even better with 10.6% same-store sales growth.

What stands out is that this growth is not limited to its core markets. The company recently expanded further east through acquisitions in North and South Carolina, and early results are strong. The first seven converted locations saw average unit volumes triple, which tells us the brand is traveling well beyond its original footprint.

There is also a new layer of growth emerging. The rollout of hot food is already contributing about a 4% same-store sales lift at participating locations, and management believes roughly three-quarters of its current store base can support food offerings.

Longer term, the opportunity is substantial. Dutch Bros ended Q1 with 1,177 locations and believes it can reach 2,029 by 2029, with a long-term vision of 7,000 stores nationwide. Given its smaller, drive-thru focused footprint and strong unit economics, that expansion could be highly profitable.

Bottom line, this is a high-growth brand trading at a more reasonable valuation after a meaningful pullback, with multiple growth drivers still ahead.

Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) — Margin Tailwinds Meet Durable Demand

Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) trades around $178 and looks like a steady operator that may be entering a more favorable margin environment.

The key story here is simple. Demand has held up, and costs may be coming down.

The company continues to show some of the most durable traffic trends in the restaurant space, with steady customer demand and even share gains versus competitors. That matters in an environment where many consumer-facing businesses are seeing softness.

At the same time, one of its biggest cost pressures, beef prices, could start to ease. Supply dynamics and policy shifts may increase availability, which would reduce input costs and help margins recover.

This is where the setup gets interesting. If traffic remains strong while costs decline, the company does not need aggressive price increases to grow profitability.

RBC recently upgraded the stock to outperform and raised its price target to $210, implying nearly 19% upside. Notably, sentiment is still mixed, with 18 out of 31 analysts rating the stock a hold, which suggests expectations are not overly stretched.

This looks like a classic case of a steady business with improving fundamentals that the market has not fully priced in yet.

C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ: CHRW) — Efficiency Gains Could Drive A Rebound

C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ: CHRW) trades around $164 after pulling back roughly 9% over the past three months, and we see signs that the business may be turning a corner.

The recent weakness has largely been tied to higher truckload spot rates, which have pressured margins. But underneath that, the company is executing well.

First-quarter results showed solid performance, and management highlighted improving efficiency driven by its adoption of Lean AI systems. That is a key point. In a logistics business, small efficiency gains can translate into meaningful margin expansion over time.

There is also an industry dynamic worth paying attention to. A recent Supreme Court ruling is expected to create more complexity and liability in the brokerage space. While that may be a short-term headwind, it could ultimately benefit larger, more established players as smaller competitors struggle to adapt.

Citi upgraded the stock to buy and set a $199 price target, implying about 25% upside. The firm pointed to improving execution, share gain potential, and a more attractive entry point following the recent sell-off.

With operational improvements underway and industry consolidation likely, this could be a name that rebounds as conditions stabilize.



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