The Exit Strategy: Stocks Showing Critical Warning Signs

May 10, 2025

Every successful investor knows a painful truth: knowing when to sell is often more critical than knowing what to buy.

While financial media overwhelmingly focuses on buying opportunities, our research consistently identifies companies facing significant headwinds that merit serious consideration for selling. These aren’t just stocks underperforming the market; they’re businesses confronting structural challenges, deteriorating fundamentals, or carrying valuations disconnected from financial reality.

What you won’t find here: reactionary calls based on short-term price movements or headline volatility. Each company on this list has been thoroughly analyzed across multiple metrics that historically precede substantial declines.

Smart investors understand that portfolio management requires both addition and subtraction. Sometimes the best investment decision is to redeploy capital away from troubling positions before problems fully materialize in the share price.

This week’s watchlist highlights stocks showing critical weaknesses that demand immediate attention:

MP Materials (MP)

MP Materials faces an existential threat to its business model as the ongoing U.S.-China trade war fundamentally disrupts its revenue streams. The rare earth mining company’s 8% Friday decline followed disappointing first-quarter results that saw losses deepen to $0.12 per share from $0.07 the previous year, while revenue of $60.8 million missed analyst estimates of $64.4 million. More critically, the company has halted shipments of rare-earth concentrates to China, which represented over 80% of its revenue last year – creating a massive hole in its business that won’t be easily filled.

The technical and fundamental picture is deteriorating rapidly. Trading at $21.96, down from a 52-week high of $29.72, the stock’s -32.93% gross margin reveals operational challenges even before the China issue surfaced. With a $4 billion market capitalization that appears increasingly difficult to justify given its customer concentration risk, MP Materials exemplifies a microcap facing macroeconomic headwinds beyond its control. The extraordinary trading volume of 11.6 million shares (more than double the 5.4 million average) suggests institutional investors are accelerating their exits.

The Chinese customer concentration problem isn’t just a temporary issue – it’s a fundamental flaw in the company’s business model during an era of sustained trade tensions. Finding alternative customers for such specialized products takes time and may require accepting significantly lower pricing, further pressuring already negative margins. With trade war tensions unlikely to abate under the current administration and the company’s primary market effectively cut off, MP Materials appears poised for continued deterioration. Investors should consider this an early warning to exit positions before the full magnitude of this business disruption becomes apparent in subsequent quarters.

Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

Krispy Kreme’s 16.56% Friday plunge reflects a company whose business model is unraveling across multiple fronts. Two prominent analysts slashed their price targets within hours, with Evercore ISI dropping from $9 to $3 and Citigroup cutting from $4.75 to $3.60, following a disappointing Q1 earnings report that confirmed deep structural problems. The company’s paused partnership with McDonald’s, which represented a major growth strategy, has been indefinitely shelved while retail sector weakness threatens the 30% of revenues derived from retail outlets.

The company’s fundamental challenges are severe and appear to be accelerating. At $2.72 per share, down from a 52-week high of $13.10, Krispy Kreme has shed nearly 80% of its value in a year. While the stock offers a seemingly attractive 5.13% dividend yield, this payout appears increasingly unsustainable given the company’s deteriorating business conditions. With a market capitalization now at just $466 million and gross margins of only 16.74%, the company has minimal financial flexibility to navigate the current challenging environment.

The massive volume surge to 31.9 million shares (nearly 7x the 4.7 million average) indicates widespread institutional selling. Krispy Kreme’s struggles appear symptomatic of broader consumer discretionary weakness, with no clear catalyst for reversal. The combination of a collapsed growth strategy (McDonald’s partnership), sector headwinds in retail distribution, and analyst capitulation suggests this stock has entered a downward spiral. For investors still holding positions, the dramatic analyst downgrades and technical breakdown present a clear exit signal before further value destruction occurs.

Wolfspeed (WOLF)

While the silicon carbide chip manufacturer technically beat earnings expectations with a loss of $0.72 per share versus $0.82 expected, the company’s 2026 revenue guidance of $850 million catastrophically missed analyst expectations of $958.7 million. This 11% guidance revision reveals fundamental problems with their silicon carbide adoption thesis, particularly in the EV market where demand has proven weaker than anticipated.

The company’s predicament represents a perfect storm of operational and balance sheet challenges. Trading at just $3.27, down from a 52-week high of $30.86 (an 89% decline), Wolfspeed’s -12.43% gross margin paints a picture of a company burning cash at an alarming rate. More concerning is the uncertainty surrounding $750 million in CHIPS Act funding that the Trump administration is now seeking to repeal. For a heavily leveraged company already struggling operationally, this potential loss of capital access could be fatal.

The technical breakdown is unmistakable, with volume exploding to 50.7 million shares versus the 27.4 million average, indicating institutional panic selling. The combination of negative gross margins, mounting debt, potential loss of government funding, and a business model predicated on EV adoption that isn’t materializing as expected creates a scenario where Wolfspeed may be approaching insolvency. At a market capitalization of just $510 million but carrying billions in debt, this stock represents a classic distressed situation where further significant declines appear likely. Investors should prioritize capital preservation and exit positions immediately before the next potential catalyst triggers another leg down.

Bottom Line

This week’s featured companies exemplify how different types of risks can quickly overwhelm businesses in vulnerable positions. MP Materials faces geographical concentration risk amplified by trade tensions, Krispy Kreme struggles with a collapsing distribution strategy amid consumer weakness, and Wolfspeed confronts a lethal combination of operational losses and balance sheet stress. In each case, recent price declines reflect only the beginning of what could be much more severe fundamental deterioration. The extraordinary trading volumes in all three stocks suggest institutional investors are rushing for the exits – retail investors should take note and follow suit before these situations potentially deteriorate further.



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