Three Strong Conviction Buys for the Week Ahead

In the ever-shifting landscape of the stock market, separating the wheat from the chaff is no easy feat. It’s a world where the wrong picks can erode your hard-earned gains, but the right ones? They have the power to catapult your portfolio to new heights. With thousands of stocks in the fray, pinpointing those poised for a breakthrough can feel like searching for a needle in a haystack.

This is where we step in. Every week, we comb through the market’s labyrinth, scrutinizing trends, earnings reports, and industry shifts. Our goal? To distill this vast universe of stocks down to a select few – those unique opportunities that are primed for significant movement in the near future.

This week, we’ve zeroed in on three standout stocks. These aren’t your run-of-the-mill picks; they are the culmination of rigorous analysis and strategic foresight. We’re talking about stocks that not only show promise in the immediate term but also hold the potential for sustained growth.

Walmart (NYSE: WMT) E-commerce and Omnichannel Innovations Driving Continued Growth

Walmart has been on a strong run in 2024, with its stock advancing over 54%. While the stock is already up significantly, there’s still potential for more upside in the coming months, particularly with the holiday shopping season just around the corner. Bank of America sees an additional 5% growth ahead, with a price target of $85 per share.

One of the key factors driving Walmart’s success is its commitment to improving its e-commerce business. The company has made major strides with faster delivery options, ongoing store renovations, and a growing membership service through Walmart+. These enhancements are positioning Walmart as a leader in the omnichannel space, seamlessly blending the physical and digital shopping experiences for consumers.

What really sets Walmart apart is its ability to capitalize on the growing trend of online spending, especially as we approach the holiday season. With a shorter selling season this year—there are five fewer days between Thanksgiving and Christmas compared to last year—Walmart’s broad range of convenient fulfillment options, including next-day delivery and curbside pickup, are expected to attract more customers. As Bank of America’s Robert Ohmes points out, larger digital players like Walmart are well-positioned to benefit from this shift.

For investors, Walmart’s continued focus on enhancing its digital infrastructure and its growing membership base through Walmart+ should provide a strong foundation for sustained growth. As we move into the holiday season, Walmart is one to watch.

Ally Financial (NYSE: ALLY) Well-Positioned for Long-Term Growth in a Shifting Market

Ally Financial is a stock that’s starting to stand out as a solid long-term play. The company, which specializes in auto lending and online banking, is expected to benefit from its ability to reposition its portfolio and grow its total book value by an estimated 25% by the end of next year.

One of the key factors driving this opportunity is the company’s asset mix. While Ally faced challenges with its 2022 auto loans, this asset class has a short duration, meaning it won’t be a burden beyond 2025. Importantly, the performance of Ally’s 2023 and 2024 auto vintages is expected to improve significantly, creating a healthier balance sheet moving forward.

Ally’s ability to weather the short-term storm while positioning itself for better performance in the near future makes it an intriguing option for investors. According to Citi analysts, Ally is “one of the best-positioned liability-sensitive names” in the current market. The anticipation surrounding the company’s upcoming third-quarter results—particularly any updates on credit loss outlook—could be a catalyst for revaluation by the market.

Currently, Wall Street is somewhat split on Ally Financial. Out of 21 analysts, 10 have rated it a “buy” or “strong buy,” 8 have neutral ratings, and 3 have given it an underperform rating. That said, improving credit performance and the potential for better-than-expected quarterly updates may bring more bulls to this name.

With all of these factors in mind, Ally Financial seems to be a strong pick for those looking for a company that can weather short-term volatility while setting itself up for a more stable future. If the company continues to improve its auto loan performance and gets rewarded with a higher valuation, now might be the perfect time to take a closer look.

Vista Energy (NYSE: VIST) A Promising Energy Stock with Room to Grow

Vista Energy is showing strong potential for continued growth, driven by its impressive production outlook and strategic expansion efforts. The company recently received an upgrade from UBS, which raised its rating to buy from neutral and increased the price target by $5 to $60, suggesting a nearly 32% upside from the current price. This upgrade reflects growing confidence in Vista’s ability to execute its development plan, particularly in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta oil deposit, one of the largest shale oil and gas reserves in the world.

Vista has been proactive in ramping up production, securing additional equipment, and adding more wells to accelerate its growth. Notably, the company expanded its partnership with SLB in June and signed a contract with Nabors Industries to add a third drilling rig, scheduled to begin operations in the second half of this year. These strategic moves are expected to boost Vista’s production capabilities and drive further growth in the coming quarters.

Brent crude prices, forecasted to average around $75 per barrel from the fourth quarter onward, are expected to support this production increase. Vista’s breakeven point is much lower, around $50 per barrel, giving it a significant margin to capitalize on higher oil prices. This low breakeven price enhances Vista’s profitability and positions it well against potential market fluctuations.

Despite shares rising over 54% this year, analysts believe Vista’s production potential remains undervalued by the market. Seven out of nine analysts covering the stock have issued buy or strong buy ratings, emphasizing the broader positive sentiment around Vista’s growth trajectory. With its robust production strategy, favorable market conditions, and strong analyst support, Vista Energy stands out as a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the energy sector.



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